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| #878231 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:51 AM 16.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 50 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1500 UTC SUN OCT 16 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 46.6W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT.......150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW. 34 KT.......360NE 330SE 300SW 360NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 600SE 810SW 600NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 46.6W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.9N 47.2W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.5N 46.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 155NW. 34 KT...360NE 330SE 300SW 330NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 41.0N 44.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. 34 KT...330NE 330SE 270SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 43.8N 41.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 60NW. 34 KT...330NE 330SE 250SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 48.5N 38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW 60NW. 34 KT...480NE 420SE 300SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 58.6N 35.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 420NW. 34 KT...540NE 420SE 420SW 600NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.1N 46.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
