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| #878279 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 PM 16.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 52 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1100 PM AST SUN OCT 16 2016 ...SWELLS GENERATED BY NICOLE EXPECTED TO CREATE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.5N 45.5W ABOUT 570 MI...920 KM SE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was located near latitude 40.5 North, longitude 45.5 West. Nicole is moving toward the northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through late Monday. A north-northeastward motion at an even faster forward speed is forecast on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Nicole is expected to produce hurricane-force winds through Tuesday. However, Nicole should lose its tropical characteristics on Tuesday as well. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda, the United States east coast, the coast of Atlantic Canada, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward Islands for the next several days, creating dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. These swells are also likely to reach Europe and the northwest coast of Africa in a couple of days. Please refer to products being issued by your local weather office for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg |
