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| #878301 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:33 AM 17.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 53 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 0900 UTC MON OCT 17 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 45.2W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 80SE 80SW 70NW. 50 KT.......150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT.......360NE 300SE 330SW 330NW. 12 FT SEAS..600NE 900SE 960SW 720NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 45.2W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.7N 45.5W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 42.5N 43.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...400NE 360SE 330SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 46.0N 40.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 60NW. 34 KT...420NE 420SE 300SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 51.5N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...240NE 210SE 150SW 60NW. 34 KT...420NE 420SE 360SW 360NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 56.0N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...180NE 240SE 240SW 240NW. 34 KT...420NE 420SE 420SW 420NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 65.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...300NE 420SE 420SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...ABSORBED BY ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.0N 45.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
