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#878352 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 PM 17.Oct.2016) TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 55 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 500 PM AST MON OCT 17 2016 ...NICOLE MOVING OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A STRONG POST-TROPICAL LOW LATER TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...42.7N 42.6W ABOUT 575 MI...925 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was located near latitude 42.7 North, longitude 42.6 West. Nicole is moving toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h) and this general motion is forecast to continue tonight. A turn toward the north-northwest with a significant increase in forward speed is expected on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. However, Nicole is expected to lose its tropical characteristics later tonight. Nicole is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 380 miles (610 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 962 mb (28.41 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells associated with Nicole will affect the United States east coast, the coast of Atlantic Canada, Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, and the Azores islands for the next several days, creating dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. These swells are also likely to reach Europe and the northwest coast of Africa in a day or two. Please refer to products being issued by your local weather office for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart |