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#880157 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:00 AM 21.Nov.2016) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016 400 AM EST MON NOV 21 2016 ...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... SUMMARY OF 400 AM EST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.5N 79.4W ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM ESE OF SAN ANDRES ISLAND ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM E OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, and the islands of San Andres and Providencia should monitor the progress of the tropical depression since a Tropical Storm Watch may be required later today. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 AM EST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Sixteen was located near latitude 11.5 North, longitude 79.4 West. The depression has been nearly stationary for the past several hours, and little movement is expected today. A slow motion toward the west is expected to begin on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today or tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM EST. $$ Forecaster Stewart |