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| #880182 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:42 AM 21.Nov.2016) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016 1000 AM EST MON NOV 21 2016 ...DEPRESSION MOVING LITTLE... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.5N 79.3W ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM ESE OF SAN ANDRES ISLAND ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM E OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, and the islands of San Andres and Providencia should monitor the progress of this system, since a Tropical Storm Watch may be required later today or tonight. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM EST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Sixteen was located near latitude 11.5 North, longitude 79.3 West. The depression is nearly stationary. A west-southwestward to westward drift is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is likely to become a tropical storm later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Outer rain bands from the depression are expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches across portions of central and western Panama and southeastern Costa Rica through Wednesday, with isolated totals upwards of 10 to 15 inches across the higher terrain. These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Additional heavy rainfall may move into portions of Costa Rica Wednesday night into Thursday as the system approaches the coast. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM EST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |
