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| #8853 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 PM 16.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST THU SEP 16 2004 ...JEANNE A STRONG TROPICAL STORM OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING AND WATCH FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THESE HAVE BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...WHICH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI EASTWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 85 KM... NORTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. THE CENTER OF JEANNE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST INLAND OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND...BUT JEANNE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH AFTER IT MOVES OFF THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA. A SUSTAINED WIND TO 69 MPH...111 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED AT LA ROMANA IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AT 4 PM AST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TODAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE SUBSIDING ALONG THE COASTLINE OF PUERTO RICO DURING THE DAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. A RAINBAND TRAILING THE CENTER OF JEANNE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...WHERE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE STILL POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...19.0 N... 69.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
