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| #888174 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 19.Apr.2017) TCDAT1 Subtropical Depression One Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012017 1100 AM AST Wed Apr 19 2017 The non-tropical low over the north central Atlantic which has been tracked by NHC for the past few days has developed organized convection mainly in a curved band southeast of the center. The system is still embedded within an upper-low, the outflow is minimal and the strongest winds are removed from the center of circulation. Consequently, the low is being classified as a subtropical depression with an initial intensity of 30 kt. These winds are based on recent ASCAT data. It is anticipated that shear and cold waters will not allow intensification, and the subtropical depression is expected to become absorbed by a large extratropical cyclone in about 36 hours or sooner. The subtropical depression is moving toward the north-northeast at about 10 kt. A gradual turn to the north and north-northwest around the approaching extratropical low is forecast for the next 24 hours or so. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/1500Z 31.9N 40.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 20/0000Z 32.8N 40.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 20/1200Z 35.0N 40.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila |
