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| #8915 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 16.Sep.2004) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 59 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092004 0300Z FRI SEP 17 2004 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 86.2W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 86.2W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 86.5W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.2N 85.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 35.9N 83.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.0N 81.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.3N 81.0W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 34.0N 83.0W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...INLAND AND DISSIPATED THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER STEWART |
