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#892745 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:49 AM 20.Jun.2017) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Bret Intermediate Advisory Number 7A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022017 800 AM AST Tue Jun 20 2017 ...BRET MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.1N 63.6W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM ENE OF ISLA MARGARITA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bonaire * Curacao * Aruba For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bret was located near latitude 11.1 North, longitude 63.6 West. Bret is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through today. On the forecast track, the center of the tropical storm will continue to move across the southeastern Caribbean Sea today. Surface observations from the eastern Caribbean Sea indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today, and a weakening trend is expected to begin later today and Bret is forecast to become a tropical depression on Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) primarily to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will occur over portions of the warning area for the next several hours, but these conditions should subside later today. RAINFALL: Bret is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the Windward Islands and the northeastern coast of Venezuela through today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila |