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#892762 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 20.Jun.2017) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022017 1100 AM AST Tue Jun 20 2017 ...BRET FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.6N 64.4W ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM E OF CURACAO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Venezuela has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning from Pedernales to Cumana. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Venezuela Isla de Margarita A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bonaire * Curacao * Aruba For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bret was located near latitude 11.6 North, longitude 64.4 West. Bret is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tomorrow. On the forecast track, the center of the tropical storm or its remnants will continue to move across the southeastern Caribbean Sea for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening should begin today, and the system is expected to dissipate on Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring over portions of the warning area, but these conditions should subside later today. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by tonight and Wednesday. RAINFALL: Bret is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the Windward Islands and the northeastern coast of Venezuela through today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila |