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| #892863 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:10 PM 20.Jun.2017) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Cindy Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017 1000 PM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017 ...CINDY STRENGTHENS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.4N 91.0W ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM S OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM SE OF GALVESTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended eastward to the Alabama-Florida border, including Lake Pontchartrain and the New Orleans Metropolitan area. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * San Luis Pass Texas to the Alabama-Florida border * Metropolitan New Orleans * Lake Pontchartrain A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. Interests elsewhere along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was located near latitude 26.4 North, longitude 91.0 West. Cindy is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. A turn toward the north-northwest and then toward the north is expected Wednesday night and early Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Cindy will approach the coast of southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas late Wednesday and Wednesday night, and move inland over southeastern Texas on Thursday. Reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft and nearby ships indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected on Wednesday. Slight weakening is forecast to begin on Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km), mainly north through northeast of the center. The minimum central pressure recently reported by the reconnaissance aircraft was 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Cindy is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 9 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches over southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle through Thursday. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding in these areas. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches can be expected farther west across southwest Louisiana into southeast Texas through Thursday. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area overnight and spread westward within the warning area through early Thursday. STORM SURGE: Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is expected along the coast in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area, with isolated areas possibly up to 4 feet. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible tonight into Wednesday from southern Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart |
