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| #8965 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 AM 17.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST FRI SEP 17 2004 ...JEANNE STILL DRIFTING OVER NORTHERN HISPANIOLA...A LITTLE BIT WEAKER... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI EASTWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT AT 5 AM AST...0900Z ...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS STILL INLAND CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.1 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES ...115 KM...NORTH OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. JEANNE HAS BEEN MOVING LITLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...IN SMALL AREA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CYCLONE INTERACTS WITH HISPANIOLA BUT COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STATUS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TODAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. A RAINBAND TRAILING JEANNE IS LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO AND IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...OVER PORTIONS OF THAT ISLAND. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...19.5 N... 70.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER AVILA |
