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#897073 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:57 PM 31.Jul.2017) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Emily Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062017 1100 PM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017 ...EMILY MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA JUST NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE... ...HEAVY RAINFALL STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.5N 81.0W ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM W OF VERO BEACH FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Emily was located near latitude 27.5 North, longitude 81.0 West. Emily is moving toward the east near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected early Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Emily will move offshore of the east-central Florida coast Tuesday morning and then accelerate northeastward over the western Atlantic through Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible once Emily moves over the Atlantic Ocean, but it could also become an extratropical low at some point during the next couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Emily is expected to produce additional rainfall of 1 to 2 inches across southern Florida and the Florida Keys, with isolated storm totals up to 8 inches possible. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg |