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| #897718 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:50 PM 07.Aug.2017) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Franklin Intermediate Advisory Number 5A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017 700 PM CDT Mon Aug 07 2017 ...FRANKLIN APPROACHING THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.8N 86.5W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM E OF CHETUMAL MEXICO ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SSE OF COZUMEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Chetumal to Punta Allen A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Belize City northward to the border of Mexico * The coast of Mexico from Chetumal to Campeche A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Campeche to Sabancuy Interests elsewhere around the Bay of Campeche should monitor the progress of this system. A Hurricane Watch may be required for a portion of the southwestern Gulf coast of Mexico this evening. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 86.5 West. Franklin is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a west-northwestward to westward motion is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center will continue to approach the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula this evening and make landfall overnight. Franklin is then expected to move across the Yucatan peninsula on Tuesday, and into the Bay of Campeche Tuesday evening or Tuesday night. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is still possible before the center reaches the Yucatan peninsula, and Franklin could be near hurricane intensity at landfall on the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure based on aircraft reconnaissance data is 995 mb (29.38 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated amounts of around 12 inches, are possible across the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico and Belize through Wednesday, with the highest amounts over the Mexican state of Quintana Roo. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods. WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch area tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in portions of the warning area over the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Mexico on Tuesday. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg |
