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| #897854 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:01 AM 09.Aug.2017) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Franklin Intermediate Advisory Number 10A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017 100 AM CDT Wed Aug 09 2017 ...FRANKLIN CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.4N 92.1W ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Puerto de Veracruz to Tuxpan A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico north of Tuxpan to Rio Panuco A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico east of Puerto de Veracruz to Celestun * The coast of Mexico north of Tuxpan to Rio Panuco A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 to 36 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was located near latitude 20.4 North, longitude 92.1 West. Franklin is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the west is expected during the next several hours, with Franklin maintaining that motion up until landfall. On the forecast track, the center of Franklin will move westward over the Bay of Campeche overnight and on Wednesday and is forecast to cross the coast of the Mexican state of Veracruz Wednesday night or early Thursday. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected, and Franklin is forecast to become a hurricane late Wednesday and reach the coast of Mexico as a hurricane Wednesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) from the center. A Mexican automated weather station at Cayo Arenas, located north of the center, recently reported a wind gust of 45 mph (73 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure estimated from Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 994 mb (29.35 inches). A Mexican automated weather station at Cayo Arcas, located just southwest of the center, recently reported a pressure of 998.7 mb (29.49 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Franklin is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, and isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible across portions of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico through tonight. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible across the Mexican states of Tabasco, northern Veracruz, northern Puebla, Tlaxcala, Hidalgo, Queretaro, and eastern San Louis Potosi in eastern Mexico. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within the Hurricane Warning area by Wednesday night. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm strength on Wednesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area along the southern shore of the Bay of Campeche through Wednesday night. Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area Wednesday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area in eastern Mexico by Wednesday evening. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in the Hurricane Warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven |
