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#898618 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 PM 16.Aug.2017) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Gert Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017 1100 PM AST Wed Aug 16 2017 ...GERT A LITTLE STRONGER BUT LIKELY TO BEGIN WEAKENING SOON OVER COLDER WATERS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.1N 58.4W ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM SE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA ABOUT 525 MI...850 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 37 MPH...59 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located near latitude 40.1 North, longitude 58.4 West. Gert is moving rapidly toward the east-northeast near 37 mph (59 km/h). An even faster motion toward the east-northeast is expected through Thursday, followed by some deceleration and a turn toward the northeast Thursday night and Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. A weakening trend is forecast to begin Thursday morning, and Gert is likely to lose its tropical characteristics by Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Gert will affect the east coast of the United States from Virginia northward to New England and Atlantic Canada through Thursday. Swells are also expected to continue to affect Bermuda through tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather forecast office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |