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#898794 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:50 PM 18.Aug.2017) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Harvey Intermediate Advisory Number 5A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017 200 PM AST Fri Aug 18 2017 ...HARVEY MOVING INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.2N 62.1W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM W OF ST. VINCENT ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM WSW OF ST. LUCIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of France had discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Martinique. The Government of Barbados has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for St. Vincent and the Grenadines, and has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch for Dominica. The Government of St. Lucia has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for St. Lucia. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests elsewhere in the eastern and central Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of Harvey. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Harvey was located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 62.1 West. Harvey is moving toward the west near 21 mph (33 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Harvey will move away from the Windward Islands and through the eastern Caribbean Sea this afternoon and tonight. It should then move into the central Caribbean Sea on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) mainly to the north of the center. The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Locally gusty winds across the Windward Islands should diminish this afternoon. RAINFALL: Harvey is expected to produce additional rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with locally higher amounts across parts of the Leeward and Windward Islands from Guadeloupe southward to Grenada. These additional rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |