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| #8989 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:04 AM 17.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM AST FRI SEP 17 2004 ...JEANNE DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI EASTWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.9 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ON THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC NEAR PUERTA PLAT ABOUT 115 MILES...190 KM...SOUTH OF GRAND TURK. JEANNE HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND A MOSTLY NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...IN SMALL AREA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CYCLONE INTERACTS WITH HISPANIOLA BUT JEANNE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STATUS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TODAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...19.8 N... 70.9 W. MOVEMENT DRIFTING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER AVILA/LAWRENCE |
