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| #9003 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 17.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST FRI SEP 17 2004 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI EASTWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.2 WEST. THIS POSITION IS INLAND OVER NORTHWESTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC NEAR SANTIAGO AND IS ABOUT 140 MILES... 225 KM...SOUTH OF GRAND TURK ISLAND. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR... AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. JEANNE HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS ORGANIZED OVER LAND...BUT COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER AND TOWARD THE BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES ...325 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA IN THE WARNED AREA. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE ALSO LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...19.5 N... 71.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER LAWRENCE |
