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#903447 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 AM 17.Sep.2017) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 49 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 1100 AM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017 ...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND JOSE STRONGER... ...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.0N 71.9W ABOUT 355 MI...575 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM W OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests from North Carolina northward to New England on the east coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system. Tropical storm watches may be needed for portions of this area during the next day or so. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located near latitude 31.0 North, longitude 71.9 West. Jose is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is expected through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Jose is expected to remain offshore of the U.S. east coast. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible over the next couple of days, but Jose is forecast to remain a hurricane through Tuesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The minimum central pressure based on data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters is 967 mb (28.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, and much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are likely to cause dangerous surf and rip current conditions for the next several days in these areas. For more information, please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi |