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| #903816 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 PM 19.Sep.2017) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Jose Advisory Number 59 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 1100 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017 ...JOSE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... ...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.9N 70.8W ABOUT 230 MI...375 KM S OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Woods Hole to Sagamore Beach, including Cape Cod * Block Island * Martha`s Vineyard * Nantucket A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jose was located near latitude 37.9 North, longitude 70.8 West. Jose is moving toward the northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or two with a decrease in forward speed. On the forecast track, the center of Jose is expected to pass well to the east of the New Jersey coast on Wednesday, and pass offshore of southeastern Massachusetts by Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 973 mb (28.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the warning area early Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area beginning early tomorrow. SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, and much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are likely to cause dangerous surf and rip current conditions for the next several days in these areas. For more information, please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Jose is expected to produce the following additional rainfall accumulations through Thursday: Over eastern Rhode Island and southeast Massachusetts...1 to 3 inches. Nantucket and Cape Cod...2 to 4 inches. Martha`s Vineyard...3 to 5 inches. These rainfall totals could cause isolated flash flooding. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila |
