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| #904271 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 23.Sep.2017) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 1500 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 49.4W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 49.4W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 49.4W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.2N 49.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 32.3N 48.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 31.9N 47.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 31.3N 46.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 30.5N 45.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 29.9N 45.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 30.5N 47.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 49.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
