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| #904309 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 PM 23.Sep.2017) TCMAT5 HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST ON SUNDAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 72.5W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 35SW 45NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......210NE 200SE 100SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 180SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 72.5W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 72.4W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.6N 72.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 110SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 29.1N 73.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.1N 73.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.1N 73.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 32.9N 73.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 34.5N 73.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 35.0N 72.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 72.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
