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| #904531 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 25.Sep.2017) TCMAT5 HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 1500 UTC MON SEP 25 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK * ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF DUCK TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER * NORTH OF SURF CITY TO SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 72.9W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..480NE 360SE 270SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 72.9W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 73.0W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 31.8N 73.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 32.9N 73.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 33.8N 73.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 34.7N 73.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 35.7N 71.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 37.5N 64.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 42.0N 52.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 72.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
