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#905042 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 AM 29.Sep.2017) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 53 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 0900 UTC FRI SEP 29 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 63.3W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 90SE 100SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 210SE 220SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 300SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 63.3W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N 64.7W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 37.9N 59.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 100SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 220SE 230SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 39.8N 52.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 120SE 90SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 230SE 240SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 42.1N 45.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 110SE 90SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 220SE 200SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 45.0N 36.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 110SE 90SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 210SE 180SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 51.4N 16.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 210SE 180SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...ABSORBED WITHIN A FRONTAL ZONE REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N 63.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |