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#9074 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 PM 17.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM AST FRI SEP 17 2004 ...JEANNE UPGRADED BACK TO A TROPICAL STORM... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS... MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS ...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST. THIS POSITION IS JUST NORTH OF HISPANIOLA AND ABOUT OR ABOUT 105 MILES... 165 KM... SOUTHWEST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND. JEANNE APPEARED TO BE STATIONARY BUT IS BEGINNING TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES ... 30 KM FROM THE CENTER. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY MEASURED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COASTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA AS JEANNE MOVES AWAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF JEANNE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS ALSO LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO. REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...20.4 N... 72.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER JARVINEN |