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| #908589 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:54 AM 29.Oct.2017) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Philippe Intermediate Advisory Number 7A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182017 800 AM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017 ...PHILIPPE ACCELERATING AWAY FROM FLORIDA BUT STILL PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.6N 79.0W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SW OF MIAMI FLORIDA ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ENE OF KEY WEST FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 32 MPH...52 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cuban provinces of Isla de la Juventud, La Habana, Ciudad de la Habana, Matanzas, Cienfuegos, and Villa Clara * Northwestern Bahamas For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Philippe was estimated near latitude 27.6 North, longitude 79.0 West. Philippe has accelerated and is now moving toward the northeast near 32 mph (52 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Philippe will continue to move quickly away from the Florida east coast and the northwestern Bahamas this morning, and then move over the open western Atlantic by this afternoon. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional slight strengthening is forecast during the next day or so. However, Philippe is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by tonight, and be absorbed by an extratropical low on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. Recent ship observations indicate that tropical-storm-force winds of 40 to 50 mph (65 to 83 km/h) are occurring across the waters in and near the northwestern Bahamas. The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface observations is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Philippe is expected to produce additional rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over the northern Bahamas and eastern Cuba. This rainfall could cause flash flooding, especially in urban areas and in the mountainous terrain of Cuba. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to end in the warning area in Cuba this morning. Tropical storm conditions should continue across portions of the warning area in the northwestern Bahamas this morning, but end by early afternoon. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart |
