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#908612 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:51 PM 29.Oct.2017) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Philippe Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182017 200 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017 ...PHILIPPE SCURRYING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE U.S. EAST COAST AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR THE BAHAMAS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.7N 75.4W ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM NE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM ENE OF VERO BEACH FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 46 MPH...74 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of the Bahamas has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the northwestern Bahamas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: No coastal watches or warnings are in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Philippe was located near latitude 28.7 North, longitude 75.4 West. Philippe is moving toward the east-northeast near 36 mph (74 km/h). A motion toward the northeast is expected to begin later this afternoon and tonight and continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Philippe will move farther away from the United States east coast and the northwestern Bahamas, and emerge over the open western Atlantic this afternoon and tonight, remaining well away from the United States and Bermuda. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strengthen is expected today, and Philippe is forecast to merge with a cold front and become a post-tropical cyclone by tonight, and be absorbed by a large extratropical low on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) from the center. Recent ship observations continue to indicate that tropical-storm-force winds of 40 to 50 mph (65 to 83 km/h) are occurring to the east of northwestern Bahamas. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Philippe is expected to produce additional rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over eastern Cuba. This rainfall could cause flash flooding, especially in urban areas and in the mountainous terrain of Cuba. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart |