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#909415 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:45 PM 06.Nov.2017) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192017 2100 UTC MON NOV 06 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 50.0W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 50.0W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 50.1W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 31.4N 49.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 34.2N 49.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 37.6N 48.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 41.1N 46.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 48.8N 37.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 56.0N 14.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 50.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |