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#90954 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 PM 11.Jun.2006) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 1000 PM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006 ...DISORGANIZED ALBERTO MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO STEINHATCHEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE BROAD CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.7 WEST OR ABOUT 345 MILES...555 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 385 MILES...620 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR ...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THIS TROPICAL STORM ARE WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER... AND EXTEND MAINLY EASTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND A NEARBY SHIP WAS 1004 MB ...29.65 INCHES. ALBERTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 30 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DIMINISH ACROSS WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY... WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. TIDE LEVELS ARE ALREADY RUNNING MORE THAN A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA NORTHWARD TO APALACHICOLA. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...25.3 N...87.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT. FORECASTER STEWART |