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#9188 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 PM 18.Sep.2004) TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM AST SAT SEP 18 2004 ...KARL BECOMES THE FIFTH MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE 2004 SEASON... AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 41.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1150 MILES...1850 KM... WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. INFRA-RED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT KARL IS JUST COMPLETING AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE AND A DECREASE IN WIND SPEED IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS IS FORECAST FOLLOWED BY AN INCREASE BACK TO MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...16.2 N... 41.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER JARVINEN |