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| #9190 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 18.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT SAT SEP 18 2004 ...JEANNE REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...MOVING ERRATICALLY NORTHWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS... MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.3 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES... 40 KM...EAST OF THE EASTERN END OF MAYAGUANA ISLAND IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. JEANNE IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR. WHILE SOME JUMPING AROUND OF THE CENTER IS POSSIBLE AS JEANNE RE-ORGANIZES...THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT JEANNE REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH JEANNE. CURRENTLY THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE OCCURRING WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...22.4 N... 72.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER BEVEN |
