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#9246 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 AM 19.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004 1500Z SUN SEP 19 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 72.5W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 72.5W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 72.4W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.8N 72.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 26.5N 71.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 27.5N 70.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 27.5N 70.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 26.5N 70.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 26.0N 70.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 26.0N 71.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 72.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA |