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| #932066 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:54 PM 08.Jul.2018) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 13A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022018 200 PM AST Sun Jul 08 2018 ...DISORGANIZED BERYL MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES... ...EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE BY THIS EVENING... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.8N 59.2W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM E OF MARTINIQUE ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM ESE OF DOMINICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...42 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Dominica * Guadeloupe A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Martinique, St. Martin, and St. Barthelemy * Saba and St. Eustatius * St. Maarten A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. Interests elsewhere in the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of Beryl. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the poorly defined center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 59.2 West. Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 26 mph (42 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl or its remnants will approach the Lesser Antilles this evening, cross the island chain overnight, and move near or south of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is anticipated during the next 24 hours, and Beryl is forecast to degenerate into a trough of low pressure by this evening as it moves across the Lesser Antilles and into the eastern Caribbean Sea. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km), mainly to the north and northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in Dominica and Guadeloupe tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch areas of the Lesser Antilles by later today or Monday. Strong gusty winds are also possible in the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Monday. RAINFALL: Beryl is expected to produce storm total rain accumulations of 2 to 3 inches through Tuesday across the Leeward and the Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico. Local amounts up to 5 inches are possible. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart |
