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| #932081 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 08.Jul.2018) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Remnants Of Beryl Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022018 500 PM AST Sun Jul 08 2018 ...REMNANTS OF BERYL RACING TOWARD THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 60.3W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NE OF MARTINIQUE ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF DOMINICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Barbados has replaced the Tropical Storm Warning for Dominica with a Tropical Storm Watch. The other respective governments of the Caribbean area have discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Guadeloupe, and have discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch for Martinique, St. Martin, St. Barthelemy, Saba, St. Maarten, and St. Eustatius. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Dominica A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case, within the next 12 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of the remnants of Beryl. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the remnants of Beryl were located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 60.3 West. The remnants are moving toward the west-northwest near 26 mph (42 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue into Monday. On the forecast track, the remnants of Beryl will move across the Leeward Islands, and move near or south of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight weakening is anticipated during the next 24 hours. However, environmental conditions are expected to become somewhat conducive for regeneration of a tropical cyclone in a few days when the remnants of Beryl are forecast to move across the Bahamas and the western Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km), mainly to the north and northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in Dominica and Guadeloupe tonight. Strong gusty winds are also possible elsewhere across the Leeward Islands tonight, and in the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Monday. RAINFALL: Beryl is expected to produce storm total rain accumulations of 2 to 3 inches through Tuesday across the Leeward and the Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico. Local amounts up to 5 inches are possible. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart |
