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#936323 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:57 AM 16.Aug.2018) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Ernesto Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052018 1100 AM AST Thu Aug 16 2018 ...ERNESTO HEADING FOR COOLER WATERS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...42.0N 43.2W ABOUT 585 MI...945 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Ernesto was located near latitude 42.0 North, longitude 43.2 West. The storm is moving toward the northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). A significantly faster northeastward motion is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days. Ernesto is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone tonight or early Friday, and merge with a frontal zone as it approaches Ireland and the United Kingdom late Saturday. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) primarily to the east and southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown |