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Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 43 (Milton) , Major: 43 (Milton) Florida - Any: 43 (Milton) Major: 43 (Milton)
 
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#936350 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:32 PM 16.Aug.2018)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052018
2100 UTC THU AUG 16 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.0N 41.0W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 90SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.0N 41.0W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.4N 42.1W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 44.9N 37.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 140SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 47.7N 31.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 150SE 120SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 50.2N 23.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 150SE 120SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 52.0N 15.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 150SE 120SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z...MERGED WITH FRONTAL ZONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.0N 41.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN