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#936351 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 16.Aug.2018) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ernesto Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052018 500 PM AST Thu Aug 16 2018 ...ERNESTO BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM WHILE HEADING TOWARD COOLER WATERS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...43.0N 41.0W ABOUT 645 MI...1035 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND ABOUT 810 MI...1305 KM WNW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ernesto was located near latitude 43.0 North, longitude 41.0 West. Ernesto is moving toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h) A faster northeastward to east-northeastward motion is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Although Ernesto is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone tonight or early Friday, some strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours. Little change is expected late Friday through Saturday before the post-tropical cyclone merges with a frontal zone near Ireland and the United Kingdom. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) mainly to the east and southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown |