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#936387 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 16.Aug.2018) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ernesto Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052018 1100 PM AST Thu Aug 16 2018 ...ERNESTO MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AND EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...44.1N 38.9W ABOUT 710 MI...1145 KM E OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM NW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ernesto was located near latitude 44.1 North, longitude 38.9 West. Ernesto is moving toward the northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h). A faster northeastward to east-northeastward motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Ernesto will approach Ireland and the United Kingdom on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. While little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, Ernesto is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone on Friday and then become extratropical as it merges with a frontal zone on Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |