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| #936472 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 17.Aug.2018) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ernesto Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052018 500 PM AST Fri Aug 17 2018 ...ERNESTO HANGING ON AS A TROPICAL STORM... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL SOON... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...49.1N 29.8W ABOUT 780 MI...1255 KM N OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 31 MPH...50 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ernesto was located near latitude 49.1 North, longitude 29.8 West. Ernesto is moving toward the northeast near 31 mph (50 km/h), and a rapid northeast or east-northeast motion is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast track, the post-tropical cyclone and its remnants will move across Ireland and the United Kingdom Saturday night and early Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Ernesto is expected to become post-tropical this evening, and some gradual weakening is forecast to occur Saturday and Saturday night. The post-tropical cyclone is expected to merge with a frontal zone by early Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) mainly southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Information on rainfall and wind forecasts for Ireland can be found in products issued by Met Eireann at www.met.ie and for the United Kingdom in products issued by the United Kingdom Met Office at www.metoffice.gov/uk. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown |
