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#9384 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 AM 21.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004 0900Z TUE SEP 21 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 70.0W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB EYE DIAMETER 45 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 350SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 70.0W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 70.2W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 27.6N 69.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 27.1N 69.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 26.5N 69.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.3N 70.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 26.6N 71.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 27.5N 72.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 29.0N 73.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 70.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN |