Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


The Atlantic is quiet
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 43 (Milton) , Major: 43 (Milton) Florida - Any: 43 (Milton) Major: 43 (Milton)
 
Show Selection:
Show plain - Location:
#938677 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 AM 05.Sep.2018)
TCDAT2

Tropical Depression Gordon Discussion Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
1000 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018

Surface observations and WSR-88D Doppler radar data indicate that
Gordon continues to weaken as it passes near Jackson, Mississippi,
and the initial intensity has been reduced to a possibly generous
25 kt. Additional weakening is expected as the cyclone moves farther
inland, and it is expected to decay to a remnant low pressure area
in about 48 h. The remnant low is then expected to become
extratropical as it merges with a frontal zone over the central
United States by Saturday. Although Gordon has weakened, the threat
of heavy rainfall and flooding will continue for the next few days.

The initial motion estimate is 320/12. Gordon should continue
northwestward with a decrease in forward speed during the next 48 h
as it moves along the southwestern side of a mid-level ridge. After
that, the cyclone or its remnants are expected to turn northward and
northeastward as it recurves into the westerlies. The new forecast
track is similar to the previous one. However, during the first
48 h it lies to the east of the various consensus models due to a
westward shift in the guidance since the last advisory.

This will be the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Gordon. Future information on Gordon can be found
in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center
beginning at 4 PM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT2, WMO header WTNT32
KWNH, and on the web at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.

Key Messages:

1. Even though Gordon is weakening, heavy rainfall will continue to
affect the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama, central
Mississippi, Arkansas, Missouri, southern Iowa and Illinois, with
isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches possible. This rainfall will
cause flash flooding across portions of these areas.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/1500Z 32.3N 90.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
12H 06/0000Z 33.3N 91.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
24H 06/1200Z 33.9N 92.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
36H 07/0000Z 34.5N 93.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
48H 07/1200Z 35.3N 93.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 08/1200Z 37.0N 93.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 09/1200Z 39.5N 90.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 10/1200Z 43.0N 84.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Beven