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| #940568 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 AM 16.Sep.2018) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102018 1500 UTC SUN SEP 16 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 34.3W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 60SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 34.3W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 35.2W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 34.9N 31.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.5N 28.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 33.6N 27.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 32.6N 26.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 30.4N 29.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 34.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
