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#940620 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:33 PM 16.Sep.2018)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102018
2100 UTC SUN SEP 16 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 32.6W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 32.6W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 33.4W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.2N 30.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 33.6N 28.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 32.4N 27.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 31.2N 27.4W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 29.4N 30.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 32.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI