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#9421 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 AM 21.Sep.2004) TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST TUE SEP 21 2004 ...KARL NO THREAT TO LAND... AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.0 WEST OR ABOUT 1005 MILES...1620 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENIN IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 944 MB...27.88 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...21.4 N... 48.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 944 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER LAWRENCE |