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| #944412 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 12.Oct.2018) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 66 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 500 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018 ...HURRICANE LESLIE RACING ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BRING SIGNIFICANT WIND AND RAIN IMPACTS TO PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.9N 24.1W ABOUT 895 MI...1445 KM SSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM WNW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Madeira Island Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 33.9 North, longitude 24.1 West. Leslie is moving toward the east-northeast near 35 mph (56 km/h). A fast motion toward the east-northeastward is expected to continue through Saturday, followed by a slower east-northeastward motion Saturday night and Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north of Madeira Island tonight and early Saturday, approach the southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday, and move inland over portions of the Iberian Peninsula late Saturday and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force post-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Weakening is forecast after Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula, and the post- tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km), mainly to the south of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island beginning early Saturday. Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to portions of Portugal late Saturday, and tropical-storm-force winds to portions of western Spain late Saturday and Saturday night. Please see products from your local meteorological service for more information on this hazard. RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4 inches (100 mm) across Portugal and portions of Spain through Sunday night. This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday and will reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown |
