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| #9453 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 21.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004 2100Z TUE SEP 21 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 68.8W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 140 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 200SW 250NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 68.8W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 69.0W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 27.0N 68.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 26.5N 68.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.2N 69.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.4N 69.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.3N 71.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 105NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 29.0N 73.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 32.0N 74.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 68.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART |
