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| #946061 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 AM 27.Oct.2018) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Oscar Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162018 500 AM AST Sat Oct 27 2018 ...OSCAR STRENGTHENS AS ITS CENTRAL PRESSURE DROPS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.3N 47.0W ABOUT 1120 MI...1800 KM ESE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1200 MI...1930 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Oscar was located near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 47.0 West. Oscar is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A westward to west-southwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected today and tonight, followed by a reduction in speed on Sunday. A turn toward the north-northwest is forecast on Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next several days, and Oscar is expected to make a transition to a tropical storm on Sunday. Oscar could then become a hurricane by Monday night or Tuesday. Winds of 40 mph or greater extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches) based on data from a nearby drifting buoy. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg |
