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#946088 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 27.Oct.2018) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Oscar Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162018 1100 AM AST Sat Oct 27 2018 ...OSCAR TURNS TOWARD THE WEST AND CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.3N 48.4W ABOUT 1040 MI...1675 KM ESE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1125 MI...1810 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Oscar was located near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 48.4 West. The storm is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the west-southwest is anticipated later today, followed by a turn back toward the west on Sunday. Oscar is forecast to begin moving toward the north and then the northeast by early next week. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected, and Oscar could become a hurricane after transitioning to a tropical storm later this weekend or early next week. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky |